📈 The American shadow: Concern about Trump/US on upward trajectory | Nik Nanos
Concern over the United States has surged to the top of Canadians’ list of national priorities, overtaking jobs and the economy and underscoring how cross-border uncertainty continues to shape the political landscape.
Twenty-seven per cent of Canadians now cite relations with the United States as the country’s most important issue, up sharply from 11.4% four weeks earlier, while concern about jobs and the economy stands at 21.1%.
Against this backdrop, the Liberals maintain a commanding advantage in federal voting intentions, polling at 48.3%, compared with 30.9% for the Conservatives and 10.9% for the NDP. Smaller parties remain well behind, with the Bloc Québécois at 4.9%, the Green Party at 3.2% and the People’s Party at 1.4%.
Mark Carney also remains the dominant choice for prime minister. More than half of Canadians (56.1%) identify him as their preferred PM, compared with 21.1% for Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre.
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KEY HIGHLIGHTS
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Ballot – The latest Nanos federal ballot tracking has the Liberals at 48.3 per cent, the Conservatives at 30.9 the NDP at 10.9 per cent, the Bloc at 4.9 per cent, the Green Party at 3.2 per cent and the Peoples Party at 1.4 per cent.
Nanos Party Power Index – The Nanos Index which is a composite of a series of measures including ballot and leadership impressions has the Liberals at 65.9 points, followed by the Conservatives at 43.4 points, the NDP with 34.5 points, the Greens 28.8 points, the People’s Party 22.5 points and the BQ 38.4 points (QC only).
Preferred Prime Minister – Nanos tracking has Carney as the preferred choice as PM at 56.1 per cent of Canadians followed by Poilievre (21.1%), Lewis (4.5%), May (2.3%), Blanchet (2.3%), and Bernier (1.6%). Twelve per cent of Canadians were unsure whom they preferred.
Visit the live Nanos data portal where you can dynamically chart ballot, preferred PM and Nanos Index numbers by region, gender and age. The methodology for the weekly tracking is posted here. PDFs of the polling reports are on the Nanos website.
For this report and other Nanos data points visit www.nanos.co.
Shared with permission from Nik-Nanos.
