A nation looking south – Trump, US relations and economic concerns shape the political landscape.
Latest Nanos weekly federal political tracking
Canada’s federal political landscape remains relatively settled, with the Liberals maintaining a substantial advantage over their rivals. Federal ballot tracking places Liberal support at 48.8%, ahead of the Conservatives at 29.5%, while the NDP stands at 11.1%. The Bloc Québécois, Greens and People’s Party continue to attract more modest levels of support.
Alongside the ballot numbers, Mark Carney remains the leading choice for prime minister, holding a wide lead over Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre. The gap between the two continues to define the broader federal political environment.
Issue tracking suggests that Canadians remain focused on external pressures and economic challenges. Donald Trump and Canada-U.S. relations continue to rank as the country’s foremost national concern, although the intensity of concern has eased somewhat in recent weeks. Jobs and the economy rank second, while inflation remains among the leading issues cited by Canadians. Healthcare, the environment, immigration, national unity and national security round out the list of top concerns.
Taken together, the findings point to a political environment shaped by economic considerations and cross-border developments, with voting intentions showing little sign of a major shift and the governing Liberals continuing to hold a clear advantage in national opinion measures.
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KEY HIGHLIGHTS
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Ballot – The latest Nanos federal ballot tracking has the Liberals at 48.8 per cent, the Conservatives at 29.5 the NDP at 11.1 per cent, the Bloc at 6.4 per cent, the Green Party at 2.1 per cent and the Peoples Party at 1.6 per cent.
Nanos Party Power Index – The Nanos Index which is a composite of a series of measures including ballot and leadership impressions has the Liberals at 66.1 points, followed by the Conservatives at 43.7 points, the NDP with 34.0 points, the Greens 25.4 points, the People’s Party 20.7 points and the BQ 38.3 points (QC only).
Preferred Prime Minister – Nanos tracking has Carney as the preferred choice as PM at 60.7 per cent of Canadians followed by Poilievre (20.9%), Lewis (3.3%), May (2.3%), Blanchet (1.8%), and Bernier (1.5%). Ten per cent of Canadians were unsure whom they preferred.
Visit the live Nanos data portal where you can dynamically chart ballot, preferred PM and Nanos Index numbers by region, gender and age. The methodology for the weekly tracking is posted here. PDFs of the polling reports are on the Nanos website.
For this report and other Nanos data points visit www.nanos.co.
