π¨π¦ Canadians turn their attention to the US while keeping an eye on the economy | NIK NANOS
Canadians’ political priorities are increasingly shaped by developments in the United States.
Concern about US relations has risen notably in recent weeks and now stands alongside jobs and the economy as one of the country’s leading national issues. At the same time, concerns related to inflation, housing, immigration and the environment have either remained stable or declined in prominence.
Federal voting intentions remain broadly unchanged. The Liberals continue to hold a national lead with 48.1 per cent support, ahead of the Conservatives at 31.0 per cent, while the NDP remains a distant third. Support for other federal parties remains comparatively limited, suggesting little movement in the overall electoral landscape.
Mark Carney remains the most widely selected choice for prime minister, maintaining a sizeable advantage over Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre. A broader measure of party standing, the Nanos Party Power Index, also places the Liberals ahead of their competitors.
The latest tracking points to a political environment characterized by stability rather than significant change. While issue priorities continue to evolve, particularly with respect to the United States and economic matters, federal party standings and leadership preferences remain largely consistent with recent trends.
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KEY HIGHLIGHTS
Please note that paid subscribers have access to detailed Nanos data in our portal including accessible voters, and impressions related to each federal party leader and whether they have the qualities of a good political leader.
Ballot β The latest Nanos federal ballot tracking has the Liberals at 48.1 per cent, the Conservatives at 31.0 the NDP at 11.2 per cent, the Bloc at 4.8 per cent, the Green Party at 3.3 per cent and the Peoples Party at 1.0 per cent.
Nanos Party Power Index β The Nanos Index which is a composite of a series of measures including ballot and leadership impressions has the Liberals at 66.3 points, followed by the Conservatives at 44.1 points, the NDP with 34.6 points, the Greens 27.7 points, the Peopleβs Party 21.9 points and the BQ 36.9 points (QC only).
Preferred Prime Minister β Nanos tracking has Carney as the preferred choice as PM at 58.6 per cent of Canadians followed by Poilievre (21.3%), Lewis (3.8%), May (2.6%), Blanchet (2.0%), and Bernier (0.8%). Eleven per cent of Canadians were unsure whom they preferred.
Visit the live Nanos data portal where you can dynamically chart ballot, preferred PM and Nanos Index numbers by region, gender and age. The methodology for the weekly tracking is posted here. PDFs of the polling reports are on the Nanos website.
For this report and other Nanos data points visit www.nanos.co.
METHODOLOGY
The Weekly Nanos Tracking is produced by the Nanos Research Corporation, headquartered in Canada, which operates in Canada and the United States. The respondents are recruited from a dual frame (land + cell-lines) random telephone sample of 1,000 Canadians using a four week rolling average of 250 respondents each week, 18 years of age and over.
The random sample of 1,026 respondents may be weighted by age and gender using the latest census information for Canada. The interviews are compiled into a four week rolling average of 1,000 interviews, where each week the oldest group of 250 interviews is dropped and a new group of 250 interviews is added. Current data is for the four week period ending September 18, 2026.
A random survey of 1,026 Canadians is accurate Β±3.1 percentage points, plus or minus, 19 times out of 20.
ο»ΏSince voters are not actually able to make a choice between elections, it is interesting to think about party strength and support more broadly. The Nanos Party Power Index fills this need by incorporating more information than just current vote preference.
