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Automated Online Home Values: Fast, Easy… and Often Wrong”

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by Rick Crouch |  Real Estate BuyingReal Estate SellingReal Estate Values

There is no shortage of social media posts online as well as print advertising including billboards touting the ability to provide an quick evaluation of your home’s value in mere seconds simply, “Click Here.”

For most Canadians, a home or other piece of real property is the largest financial investment they will ever make. It represents a number of thing including being an asset to manage for long-term security, lifestyle choices, future planning and more  — often forming the foundation of retirement funding or estate decisions.

The real estate market has changed significantly since the exceptional conditions we experienced in 2020 and 2021 before beginning to shift in the latter half of 2022.  Across Ontario — including Southern Georgian Bay and surrounding communities — home sales have slowed, inventory levels on the MLS® System have risen substantially, mortgage interest rates are higher, and prices in many areas have adjusted downward from their peak.

In today’s market, pricing a home correctly is critical. It is no longer something that can be left to guesswork, assumptions, or automated estimates using pre-established algorithms or artificial intelligence.

Accurate pricing requires analysis, context, and professional judgment and that can only happen following a first hand view/tour of a home, condo or even a piece of vacant land. In short, “Click Here” to find your home’s value simply doesn’t cut it, it never did.  This is especially true in today’s market where demand has softened, the inventory of properties listed for sale is high and both Buyers and mortgage lenders are making sound decisions based on facts.

👉 Related reading: My Southern Georgian Bay January 2026 Market Report

Pricing Your Home Is Not Guesswork

In rapidly rising markets, pricing mistakes can sometimes be overlooked as Buyer demand absorbs inventory quickly. That is no longer the market dynamics were are facing and I predict based on current data, this will not change anytime soon.

Today’s Buyers are more cautious, better informed, and more price-sensitive. Homes that are priced accurately attract attention and sell albeit a sale may take longer, while those priced based on past market pricing highs, what the Seller wants or needs often sit unsold and require price reductions — sometimes ending up selling for much less than if they had been priced correctly from the start.

Locally, we see this clearly. Two similar homes in the same neighbourhood can experience very different outcomes based solely on pricing strategy.

Banks and other mortgage lenders are more cautious these days. Ask yourself this question. Is a Buyer for your home or other property going to need a mortgage?  Most Buyers do and their Offer will no doubt be “conditional” on getting financing. Lenders are not about to extend financing on a property that is over priced and the sale may not firm up.

Why Online Home Valuation Tools Are Limited

Many homeowners encounter online tools that promise to provide a home’s value in “under 60 seconds” or less by simply clicking a button. While these automated valuations can offer a very rough estimate, they are not designed to determine current market value, especially in a changing and uncertain economy such as we face today.

In simple terms, online valuation tools rely on:

  • Historical sales data
  • Public records that may be outdated or incomplete
  • Broad averages applied to entire neighbourhoods.  As I like to point out, not all properties “…can be tarred with the same stick.”

What they cannot assess includes:

  • Interior condition and level of finish
  • Renovations or upgrades
  • Deferred maintenance
  • Layout functionality
  • Lot characteristics, traffic flow, views, privacy, or orientation
  • Seasonal vs year-round use
  • Local buyer behaviour and demand trends

In markets like Southern Georgian Bay — where values can vary dramatically based on location, waterfront influence, or lifestyle features — automated estimates often miss the mark giving both Sellers and Buyers a false assessment as to a property’s current value.

The Importance of an On-Site Market Value Assessment

A professional, on-site valuation provides what no algorithm can: context.

As a Market Value Appraiser (MVA) for residential properties, I physically inspect each property to understand how it truly compares to recent, relevant sales in the local market. This allows for meaningful adjustments based on:

  • Condition and quality
  • Functional layout
  • Location nuances
  • Market competition
  • Current inventory levels
  • Buyer sentiment

Sometimes there may be no comparable sales and the “replacement cost new” approach to value needs to be used. You can’t do that by pressing “Click Here.”

With a thorough approach, the result is a defensible opinion of value that reflects how Buyers are behaving today — not how they behaved during peak market conditions in 2020 or 2021 and what they should expect to comfortably pay in today’s market.

Why Accurate Pricing Matters in a Changing Market

When inventory rises and Buyers have more choice, pricing becomes one of the most powerful tools a Seller has.

Homes that are priced correctly:

  • Generate stronger early interest from Buyers
  • Spend less time on market
  • Reduce the need for price reductions
  • Provide better negotiating leverage when an offer is received
  • Help Sellers plan confidently for their next move

Conversely, over-pricing can lead to extended market time and missed opportunities, particularly in communities where Buyers are carefully comparing options.  In reality, pricing too high may even reduce showing as Buyers simply move on to those listings that appear to offer better value.

👉 Seller resource: “Marketing Your Home, More Than Just a Sign on Your Lawn”

A Thoughtful, Professional Approach to Value — At Every Price Point

If you are considering selling your home and are looking for a trusted REALTOR® to provide an accurate market value, a professional on-site valuation is an important first step.

As a Market Value Appraiser for residential properties with Sotheby’s International Realty Canada, I work with homeowners across the Southern Georgian Bay area and surrounding communities at all price levels. While the Sotheby’s name is often associated with high-end real estate, luxury is not a price point — it speaks to the nature of the service I provide.

That means thoughtful analysis, careful attention to detail, and advice grounded in current local market conditions — whether your property is a condominium, family home, rural residence, or waterfront property.

If you are exploring your options or planning your next move, I welcome the opportunity to provide clarity and guidance so you can make informed decisions with confidence. Email: rcrouch@sothebysrealty.ca Direct: 705-443-1037

NOTE: The author is a Broker, Market Value Appraiser-Residential with Sotheby’s International Realty Canada and a Past President (2008) of the One Point Association of REALTORS®.

This post is not intended to solicit homes or other properties already listed for sale.

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